I know I was taking about a backlog, but do you think they'll let GK sit that long unused? I was thinking they'll reno it sometime in the next 6-8 years, considering it does leading to a prime open coaster plot, and slots in nicely to two quality areas between new-Boardwalk and Plaza.
I don't know. I wouldn't be surprised to see Ka's plot used for the next major thrill coaster, but I also wouldn't be surprised to see the land sit empty for 15+ years. Frankly, I think there's a good chance SFGAdv has no idea yet, either.
So often park investment plans are driven in very large part by what's dying and, hence, what's in need of replacement. In the next two decades, a TON of the park's existing coaster collection is going to age out. Like, just look at this list. I think the list of coasters likely to die before 2046 is longer than the ones likely to survive.
Runaway Mine Train (1974)
Batman The Ride (1993)
Skull Mountain (1996)
Harley Quinn Crazy Train (1999)
Medusa (1999)
Lil' Devil Coaster (
2021 1999)
Nitro (2001)
Superman - Ultimate Flight (2003)
Barrels O' Fun (
2026 2004)
El Toro (2006)
Dark Knight (2008)
Joker (2016)
Jersey Devil Coaster (2021)
Flash: Vertical Velocity (2025)
Realistically, SFGAdv could quickly end up on a treadmill of sorts in the next handful of years—in a cycle of having their hand forced over and over again by having to replace major attractions that aren't worth saving any longer. Say Bakunawa is 2027, that rumored drop tower is 2028, 2029 is a major family coaster a la Werewolf Gorge, and then, say, Batman bites the dust in 2030 or 2031. From there on out, it really looks to me like the dominos will inevitably start to fall at about the pace we should realistically expect major investments.
The upheaval coming to Great Adventure in the next two decades is likely to be immense in my estimation. Not only do we have the management transition, not only do we have what seems to be a radical change in direction for the park, but I do think the park's attraction lineup is coming up on a crazy, mass aging-out too.
Will be fascinating to watch.