If you do the math of closing SFA, x% of their guests shift to KD at little to no additional operating cost to KD. If that additional KD revenue is greater than the current operating profit of SFA, which is pretty likely, combined SF comes out ahead.
I'm sure Six Flags has market research or whatever that massively trumps my antidotal impressions, but from where I'm sitting, I'll honestly be very surprised to see much traffic at all shift from SFA to KD. Feels like Hershey and even BGW somehow manage more DC area market penetration/mindshare than KD. Maybe that will change in the years ahead if Six Flags invests more marketing dollars into the DC region, but right now, I hope Six Flags isn't making this call in hopes of seeing much/any increase at KD. I worry the company underestimates just how known and popular Hershey and BGW are in the national capitol region...
But again, I could be totally wrong—just the vibe I get from talking to folks in and around DC.
I wish they had at least given SFA a chance to experiment with some market synergy. I can see where the existence of SFA—even if it were just a notably downsized park—could have driven more pass sales for Six Flags in the region and, in turn, more traffic to Dorney and KD... but I guess we'll never know now.
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