I feel like my assessment of the rational here is pretty different than what I'm seeing a lot of other people theorize.
I don't actually believe that SEAS cares
that much about any of their brands being national staples. Their existing parks are already pretty diverse and SEAS has never seemed to be very interested in doing much/any cross-marketing within the chain. Hence, I don't think that adding additional territory actually helps them
that much.
What I believe SEAS
is interested in is identifying properties and regions with unrealized value/profit potential. This has been the SEAS playbook for years now—and it's why SEAS has accomplished so much growth. They saw untapped potential in their collection of parks and began to squeeze those oranges harder to make a whole lot more juice. Now that the squeeze is in at their existing parks with budgets sliced as severely as possible, many aspects centralized or outsourced, standardized, profit-forward events plastered across all of them, year-round ops expanded everywhere possible, and regular additions precisely engineered for the absolute maximum marketability
: investment ratio, they need more parks to squeeze in order to continue displaying significant growth.
This is where we get to Cedar Fair. If I put myself in SEAS' shoes, in FUN, I see a chain of parks with an antiquated pass system selling admission products at far below what the market can bare. Additionally, many FUN parks that
could run year-round, don't (GCA and Caro are SUPER obvious in this regard) and many of these properties don't have a robust collection of seasonal events with which they can successfully drive significant in-park spending increases during current low seasons.
In my mind, the playbook looks like this:
- Obtain a park
- Cut guest experience-related spend as far as the market will bare
- Centralize or contract out as much of the park experience as makes sense
- If feasible, split off the water park into a separately-ticketed property
- Debut a subscription-based pass program with single or multi-park regional (read: dry park and water park combo) and chainwide offerings
- Roll out a constantly rotating selection of special events and upcharge opportunities
- Add a new, marketable attraction every year
- Off the back of that new attraction, raise admission product prices every year and sell upcharge products
- If possible, move the park to year-round operations or explore other ways to use the property over the off-season (drive-thru experiences for instance)
- If reasonable, evaluate the potential of a third, smaller, kids-focused gate (Sesame Place) and/or accommodation opportunities (hotels/resorts/campgrounds)
Based on that, a park like Knott's is actually one of the Cedar Fair parks where the
least could be done by SEAS ownership. Their water park is already separated, they have a relatively robust, successful event selection, they're not among the cheapest FUN parks, they're already year-round, they already have a resort, and there's likely no room for a third gate. Would Knott's fit into SEAS' collection well? For sure. That said, Knott's is also not going to come cheap due to how well the property is already utilized.
Compare that to a property like Carowinds or California's Great America. They both operate combined amusement and water parks, neither are known for their special events, both seem under-invested in, they're both relatively cheap parks despite being located right next to huge, often affluent, population centers, and only one of them has any on-site accommodations. The ceiling at one of those two parks (or many of the others in the Cedar Fair chain) is FAR higher than it is at, say, Knott's or even the likes of Cedar Point.
Basically, my theory is that SEAS would be thrilled to get their hands on the entire chain, but I suspect that the company is more interested in the "fixer upper" properties as that's where SEAS has found enormous success so far. That is, of course, in addition to the parks in markets in which SEAS already competes.