COVID-19 & Coasters: Coronavirus Impacts on the Amusement Industry

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rswashdc said:
The flatten the curve strategy being implemented isn’t about getting rid of the virus, but slowing the spread to keep hospitals from being overwhelmed. There’s no basis for predicting that the virus will just die out. If you look at the Spanish flu, the regions that flattened the curve had multiple humps from the virus outbreaking and receding. The only regions where it tailed off were those that took the devastation up front since they basically developed herd immunity along with a lot of people dying.

This is why I’m not very optimistic for the theme park industry. Absent a vaccine, working medication, or cheap and fast testing, I don’t see how you re-open any place of mass gathering without the risk of a super spreader incident reigniting an outbreak locally.
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I never said that the virus would die off. I just said that all the projections I've seen show the peak being in the next couple of months and it tailing off beyond that. I just questioned the idea that it would come back and be worse than it is now. I've seen no reporting on it that shows that.


WDWRLD said:
Right, but even in the article they mention normally they can see that coming but not this time. Disney had a bunch of big projects going on so it wasnrt for the lack of workin this case.
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I can't speak specifically for Disney but often generally these are contractors so it isn't Disney's decision to lay them off but the contractor who is building it that did.
 
BGWnut said:
I never said that the virus would die off. I just said that all the projections I've seen show the peak being in the next couple of months and it tailing off beyond that. I just questioned the idea that it would come back and be worse than it is now. I've seen no reporting on it that shows that.




I can't speak specifically for Disney but often generally these are contractors so it isn't Disney's decision to lay them off but the contractor who is building it that did.
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It’s Buena Vista Construction that was mentioned in the WDWNT article. According to the article they were the construction division of the “parks”
 
The Buena Vista Construction Company is it's own company but is still owned by Disney. Though, the construction company probably has their own hierarchy of bosses who made the call versus the parent company.
 
WDWRLD said:
It’s Buena Vista Construction that was mentioned in the WDWNT article. According to the article they were the construction division of the “parks”
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Also according to the article they aren't a direct subsidiary of the Walt Disney Company.
 
BGWnut said:
I never said that the virus would die off. I just said that all the projections I've seen show the peak being in the next couple of months and it tailing off beyond that. I just questioned the idea that it would come back and be worse than it is now. I've seen no reporting on it that shows that.
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I think the tailing off charts are just due to focusing on the existing spike at hand and not really looking at the subsequent waves that will occur. If you look at the Spanish Flu charts, even in the best case scenarios small waves popped up after the initial one (source: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/...-curve-1918-spanish-flu-pandemic-coronavirus/)
 
Regardless of who signs their paychecks my point being that people are thinking that things around the park are being fixed during this shutdown but this points otherwise.
 
BVCC is not Disney's maintenance personnel. Yeah they may do small renovations and such, but actual maintenance cast members are still working.
 
BGWnut said:
I haven't really heard anywhere say that this will be back next winter but worse. Most projections I've seen show the peak occurring soon and it tailing off from there.

I can tell you that most economists I know aren't very concerned about long term effects post stimulus.
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So just saw this on WAVY, this article says fall.
www.wavy.com

Dr. Fauci anticipates coronavirus outbreak in the fall

WASHINGTON (WJW) — Dr. Anthony Fauci said it’s likely there will be a second coronavirus outbreak in the fall. The director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases …
www.wavy.com www.wavy.com
 
Funny how when I posted a article on this earlier everyone basically said this was not Disney.
 
WDWRLD said:
Funny how when I posted a article on this earlier everyone basically said this was not Disney.
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Because the other article has different information and deals with a different scenario. You were referring to an indirect subsidiary laying off people and saying that Disney was doing that. What this article talked about is that Disney is allegedly moving funds from some projects to others that are closer to completion because they don't have as many funds due to the closure.
 
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Zachary said:
Uh oh. Here’s a really big one.

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So, this may seem like a petty question given the situation, but what does this do to anniversary math?

I.e. ride x has been open for 10 years.

Will they still count 2020 as a year it was open? That doesn't seem right.

But then they'll have to take current year - opening year - 1 (for 2020) to calculate the years things have been open.

I mean obviously, not an issue for Legoland; but like other established parks that might not have a 2020 season..
 
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I just sent an email asking about how they’re going to deal with the non-NY Awesomest passes that they’ve been selling advertising access to LEGOLAND New York when they open. My planned trip to LEGOLAND NY this summer is THE reason I have a FL Awesomest pass right now.
 
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Zachary said:
I just sent an email asking about how they’re going to deal with the non-NY Awesomest passes that they’ve been selling advertising access to LEGOLAND New York when they open. My planned trip to LEGOLAND NY this summer is THE reason I have a FL Awesomest pass right now.
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I just assumed that everyone recognized you as the awesomest.... Except @Thomas of course...
 
Zachary said:
I just sent an email asking about how they’re going to deal with the non-NY Awesomest passes that they’ve been selling advertising access to LEGOLAND New York when they open. My planned trip to LEGOLAND NY this summer is THE reason I have a FL Awesomest pass right now.
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Update: I explained the whole situation, gave LEGOLAND New York my FL pass info, they verified everything, and they offered to comp me a LEGOLAND New York ticket for use anytime during 2021. Super prompt, friendly, and helpful customer service. 10/10
 
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It makes sense for Legoland NY to delay their opening. They were due to open on July 4th. They still have to finish construction and hire the majority of their staff and at this point there's no way of knowing if they will be able to start that soon enough to open. My guess is that they will be a few months behind in a lot of construction because while some construction could still go on, I doubt that you could do a lot of interior work. So we are probably looking at them being unable to open in July from a construction standpoint. If they are 3 months behind then that is an October opening. And I don't think they will want to open when they are outside of a busy time. So to me it just makes sense to delay it to next year. I don't think this is an indication that all parks will be closed this year.
 
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