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RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

For reference, here's a quick shot of a 315' lift at a 45 degrees. The red arc represents where the bottom of the lift could be, the gray is my best guess as to the pipeline's route. It's very easy to see where it goes at both ends, but not as east to make out in the pasture area. Nonetheless, a 45 degree lift would be able to either be entirely on one side of the pipeline, or cross over, depending on the location. It wouldn't even need an additional railroad crossing. I'd actually consider redesigning Festa's station to serve the new hamlet as well as Festa.

 

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RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

So... just for a moment, let's presume this is a 300+ foot roller coaster. I would like to share some stupid ideas with you.  No need to point out that they are stupid.  I already know this to be true.

What would BGW actually want from this ride?  (Aside from a reasonable rate of return on investment)

An out-and-back certainly would carry heavy shades of Apollo, despite actually putting Apollo in the shade... a twister would be an interesting and different choice but might suffer from the Raging Bull effect, where many people don't seem to like it much and claim to think it's a bit of a bust even though it's a really enjoyable ride... Doesn't it seem likely that this thing would be altogether as different as practically possible from Apollo?  A giga-sized wingrider or flyer or oversized Mack Helix/Blue Fire or Eurocoaster on steroids or ...

...is there any chance of...

...a much taller GeForce/SFNE-Superman type layout installed by Intamin?  Any chance at all?  

Most possibilities seem far-fetched...
 
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RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

Well on that return of investment it could be measured many ways too. Is it pure ticket sales? What about number of riders? Length of stay? Returns from pass holders? Amount spent in hamlet? Or on merch? Those last two are terrible measuring sticks to be honest. The first few work. Number of visitors and length of stay have the biggest impact on sales.

As far as type?

If it is a giga, what about a out-and-back/twister hybrid? Think along the lines of Goliath at SFMM or the way Millenium Force has the elements of a out and back but in a more compact footprint. If it indeed crosses the river, cross with out and back airtime style hills, overbank style turnaround, then a overbank turn, another hill into a block break, then into a twister style helix, turns, and hills to the finish.
 
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RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

That new Mack Hyper in Australia looks fun...

BSS4_drone.ashx
 
RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

warfelg said:
Well on that return of investment it could be measured many ways too. Is it pure ticket sales? What about number of riders? Length of stay? Returns from pass holders? Amount spent in hamlet? Or on merch? Those last two are terrible measuring sticks to be honest. The first few work. Number of visitors and length of stay have the biggest impact on sales.
Return is ultimately measured in the finances. But I would think the impact of the ride "in a vacuum" would be measured in terms of annual attendance -- provided that there is no massive change to ticket pricing structure(s).  

It seems to me that the ride's job is to attract people to the park, period.  From there it's on procurement, culinary, merchandising, and other revenue-generating operations (on-ride photos, Quick Queue, etc.) to convert heads into spend.

If BGW self-assesses its own revenue driving opportunities within the park to be weak, then maybe they'd be extra gun shy up front about spending big on an attraction in the first place.  But post-install, I would be hesitant to hold a new ride unilaterally responsible for financial results, as if the other aspects of park ops and exogenous variables are not also critical variables in financial performance.

So I wouldn't think rider count, length of stay, passholder return frequency, or single-hamlet/merch spending would really be the measuring stick -- though they certainly contribute and are closely related to overall attendance and total spend per visitor. I think it's all about finances, with the ride's most direct impact to visitor behavior being the attendance numbers during the ride's operating season.
 
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RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

If it were me running the books, I would look at the years since the last major add like the one coming, (so probably Griffon) and look at ticket sales since that add. In the case of Griffon a sharp incline the year of and then a roll off. I would look in terms of raw % from year to year not raw number, as that can be impacted by other variables. (Total delta of population change in the region for example.) I would also think that at this point that a deep study into food and merch sales would be getting too deep into the weeds.

Okay so we have a trend line, we have dropped it on a scatter plot and can identify the outliers like other smaller new rides, hiccups in the general economy, and the like. We know what Griffon did the next year and so we have a high water mark. (I would not go back as far as Alpie, to much has changed) We know what V-Bolt did and have a low water mark. We have run an average, have a Mu, and even maybe a Sigma. All that is great. So what is the metric.

Frankly stats aside it is farily straight forward, and has been mentioned. What is the delta in the gate from year before, year during build, (provided they market like invader and not tempesto) and what is it like during opening.

If we see a jump in attendance similar to Griffon then, YEA we have had some success, if we see Bolt, then BOO we did not.

Now we translate that into annual rev. We should know from historical data models what in park spending looks like against total rev vs. total attendance. From that we should be able to build a simple model. Then it is a straight forward up or down. No log smoothing and statistics required!

Anyone still reading?? Anyone?? Buller... Buller???

Damn it, lost the audience again, someone remind me not to nerd out on finance in public...
 
RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

I imagine there surely are different curves for different parks in the chain for the same general ride type -- based on guest demographic, regional competition, operating schedule, etc. None may match BGW too closely. But if installing a similar ride, suitably adjusted peer performance probably factors into the decision making as well.

When installing a Sky Flyer or Giga, on the other hand... well, that's kinda unique in the chain, so...

Also, it's "Bueller."
 
RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

Question. Physically how tall could a b&m wing be built. I think we are up to what, 197ft. Is there a limitation based on the fact of the design of the trains. What's too fast, too high for one?
 
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RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

halfabee said:
I imagine there surely are different curves for different parks in the chain for the same general ride type -- based on guest demographic, regional competition, operating schedule, etc.  None may match BGW too closely.  But if installing a similar ride, suitably adjusted peer performance probably factors into the decision making as well.

When installing a Sky Flyer or Giga, on the other hand... well, that's kinda unique in the chain, so...

Also, it's "Bueller."

I was rushing..

I probably should go re-write that post for clarity. But I agree there are going to be any number of factors. I think my point was for a quick baseline, a 30,000' view, as it were, a look at attendance at the door delta would be a good start. From there you can start to look at total % of gross rev and compare it to similar cost output in other parts of the chain, ROI elsewhere, and of course similar rides in similar parks elsewhere. But if you want a thumb nail sketch what I suggested would work, and frankly be fairly accurate.

something something... past performance is the best indicator of future performance... something something...
 
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RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

If it was a coaster a good name would be "CONQUISTADOR" based on the conquerors of Spain.
 
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RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

Zimmy said:
halfabee said:
I imagine there surely are different curves for different parks in the chain for the same general ride type -- based on guest demographic, regional competition, operating schedule, etc.  None may match BGW too closely.  But if installing a similar ride, suitably adjusted peer performance probably factors into the decision making as well.

When installing a Sky Flyer or Giga, on the other hand... well, that's kinda unique in the chain, so...

Also, it's "Bueller."

I was rushing..

I probably should go re-write that post for clarity. But I agree there are going to be any number of factors. I think my point was for a quick baseline, a 30,000' view, as it were, a look at attendance at the door delta would be a good start. From there you can start to look at total % of gross rev and compare it to similar cost output in other parts of the chain, ROI elsewhere, and of course similar rides in similar parks elsewhere. But if you want a thumb nail sketch what I suggested would work, and frankly be fairly accurate.

something something... past performance is the best indicator of future performance... something something...

Yea that's all over my head, but I get the economic planning you are talking about. Did the actual line of revenue jump enough over the projected line based on linear growth.

Getting back the my main point of how do you measure it, basically what deems it a "worthy investment" (basically what we're talking about here) is what the overall impact the new ride has on the park. If you look at a micro-economic scale of "Oh the ride and new hamlet cost us $65 mil, and it only pulled in $15 mil in year one it's a failure" I think that's a mistake to deem the ride successful. But if you look at the macro-economic scale (I hope I'm using micro and macro right here, I didn't do well in Economic Geography), and say the park spent $70 mil in upgrades (paint other areas, update shows, ect); and this year it grossed an additional $45mil over last year (tickets, food, merch across the park), that could be deemed a success. I'm sure they are looking at a 5 year impact too of what the investment vs payout would be, as well as a 10 year and 20 year.

(bear with me I know I'm using a ton of made up numbers here)

So I used ridership, pass holder return trips, and length of stay as things that matter because if people ride more, they are staying the the hamlet, and that means more locker rental chances, more people possibly buying ride specific merch, more photos ops. Pass Holder return trips because the more a pass holder comes the greater the chance they spend money. Length of stay same thing. The worst thing for the park is a pass holder that comes, parks for free, spends 3-4 hours, rides 3-4 rides, watches a show, and goes home. They literally make no money on that pass holder after a while. But if that pass holder comes in less often, stays 6-10 hours, doesn't have food or drink plans is bound to buy drinks, meals, snacks.

Yes it's great to look at the bottom line of cash in and cash out, but you have to look at the things that promote spending money in the park. Every little thing like that matters when looking at the overall impact of these things.

Another impact here to think about: Another high profile ride will keep people happy. No not just from a new ride, but it will draw from other areas of the park, making other ride lines a little shorter, which means in a stay you can do more, and doing more means happier people, which means longer stays, and again more money coming in.
 
RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

Jpineda96 said:
If it was a coaster a good name would be "CONQUISTADOR" based on the conquerors of Spain.

That's spelled correctly, so it's automatically out of consideration. Maybe CONQUISTADR.

Though the Conquistadors were technically FROM Spain and Portugal, not IN Spain.
 
RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

Zachary said:
We have BGWFans representatives planning to attend the meeting as well. If anything new is shown or presented, we'll know. I'd love to be able to go myself, but I'll he on a flight out west.

Yay that will be fun. I've never been to one of those meetings before. I hope they show something that indicates a giga coaster.
 
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RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

Who's going to watch the live stream of the meeting tomorrow?
 
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RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

http://www.jamescitycountyva.gov/220/Live-Stream

Link again for anyone looking for the stream. It will be at 5:00PM today - I might actually be at Busch later on today and will just Live Stream it from the park haha.
 
RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

jornor said:
http://www.jamescitycountyva.gov/220/Live-Stream

Link again for anyone looking for the stream. It will be at 5:00PM today - I might actually be at Busch later on today and will just Live Stream it from the park haha.

According to the public hearing notice, the hearing will not begin until 7pm.
 
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RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

What's the smallest project this could possibly be?

The below is ALL speculative.... especially everything in blue.

A 306 foot SkyFlyer, still the tallest ride in Virginia.  A small bridge path (with ride sign) leads from the San Marco end of the existing Verbolten bridge eastward to a queue, which then empties eastward to the SkyFlyer.  There is a gulley there, which is why the overall ride site is so far from the existing pathways.  The SkyFlyer sits in an area which is designated to become Spain-themed in the indeterminate long-term future, at a time when chain finances are substantially better than they are today.  For now, the area is informally known as "Madrid" within a small circle of park management.  But Spain is not coming anytime soon.  In the meantime, the site is central to the overall park property and therefore offers the best overall views from extreme height while minimizing potential line-of-sight issues for the neighbors.

So... why the utility markings on the far side of the Rhine?  Well, because any ride needs power; a Sky Flyer needs more power than a typical restaurant or shop consumes, ruling out San Marco's shops as a pickup point; and crossing the pipeline with major electric lines is also not an option, ruling out the bigger San Marco flats or any of Festa as pickup points.  So the park is routing power from the existing Drachen Fire site across the river to feed the Sky Flyer.

That's as small as I can make it without it being either a massive climbing wall or maybe a replica of the Washington Monument for the next incarnation of Star Spangled Nights.  ...With a couple of spotlights on the opposite bank of the Rhine to fully illuminate your disappointment.
 
RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

halfabee said:
What's the smallest project this could possibly be?

The below is ALL speculative....

...

That's as small as I can make it without it being either a massive climbing wall or maybe a replica of the Washington Monument for the next incarnation of Star Spangled Nights.  ...With a couple of spotlights on the opposite bank of the Rhine to fully illuminate your disappointment.

This is just playing devil's advocate on smallest plausible (smallest, for a tall ride that is) attraction? i.e. not based on any new or specific info that make you think this scenario is likely, right?

In which case, I think you have a lot of sound rationale...

Though I still struggle with the high point placement, as I feel moving the tower to a location NW/NNW from where it is now makes more sense structurally, and not only would still satisfy the same points that you raised, but in some cases better. e.g. moving it slightly NW/NNW would make it even more central (from a better viewpoint perspective and further from property lines for visual impact).  It would be on higher, flatter ground, and no where near the other gully behind San Marco that you referenced, so a much easier build.

I'm still skeptical that they would site a tower on the line-of-site location--on a slope near a ravine to the Rhine doesn't make sense--and think a coaster is more plausible.  I hope.  :)
 
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RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

Big power actually does cross the pipeline in multiple places for what that is worth. The back power loop from the brewery crosses the pipeline back where the monorail went many many years ago.
 
RE: Project Madrid: New Hamlet? Giga Coaster? 315' Tower?

The correct info on the hear and an explanation for the confusion from JCC's Facebook page.
 

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