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Circling back on Dollywood, although the temperature screening was poor in execution, employees wearing masks seemed to be as close to 100% as could be. I witnessed maintenance vehicles driving by with the employees wearing masks, even if they were by themselves. And also saw employees seemingly leaving their shifts/going on breaks wearing their masks outside of normal guest accessible areas (in the queue for Lightning Rod I saw security and other personnel with masks without a guest or other employee in sight in an area that appeared to be employees only or the way to the employee parking lot)
 
These employees were caught attempting to go to work while symptomatic. Who knows how many days they worked while pre-symptomatic and contageous. Who knows how many guests they exposed.

I am pretty certain that everyone is fully expecting to be possibly exposed by pre-symptomatic and contagious people. That is the mindset you have to have right now. That is what the masks, face shields, physical distancing and sanitizer is for. We can only send people home if they show symptoms. Right now, if you step foot into public, you should assume that you may have been exposed to pre-symptomatic people. You should also believe that these CDC guidelines are protecting you, if you follow them.

Imagine going to a Wal-Mart --- how many people have you passed in there that may be pre-symptomatic? These are legitimate concerns, but they are not specific to theme parks. These concerns are everywhere in public right now. All we can do anywhere is follow the voluntary, completely not mandated, or not federally enforced CDC guidelines and hope that we are either safe, or will only get none to mild symptoms.
 
With pre-symptomatic people, the only way you could get infected from them is if you share an air space with them (likely indoors) for a lengthy period of time breathing in virus particles. This is actually pretty unlikely to occur between guests and employees, though could occur employee to employee in the same workspace or guest to guest in a confined queue or show that goes on long enough. The key for preventing pre-symptomatic transmission among guests should be limiting indoor close exposure between households such as using virtual queues, not having indoor shows, and putting restaurant tables outside.
 
People in the presymptomatic stage are highly contagious. “The peak of viral shedding occurs right before symptoms develop and immediately after, when the symptoms are still mild,” Dr. Narasimhan says. Sanjay Gupta, MD, CNN's Chief Medical Correspondent, also previously said that those who are presymptomatic are highly contagious. "People tend to be the most contagious before they develop symptoms, if they're going to develop symptoms," he said in a recent CNN article. But when it comes to asymptomatic patients, how much virus they shed and how contagious they are is still a matter of debate, Dr. Narasimhan says.

Pre-symptomatic people are are actually more contagious than those who show symptoms. From an evolutionary standpoint, this makes total sense. Why? Well, if I were an infectious disease intent on destroying my host, I would want to travel undetected as far as possible. Meaning, if I could show as little symptoms as possible, but still be highly transmissible I could sneakily infect more people. You can watch this in action by playing Pandemic II.

Generally, the only way parks or any place can be safe is to assume that we all have the disease but no one else does. In that case, we try our best to do things to keep ourselves in our own little bubbles and avoid contact, but when contact is required, we wash up or disinfect when we can.
 
Perhaps some good news for the Haunt side of things? Screamscape has provided an update on the latest developments for HHN at Universal Studios Florida. Nothing too concrete, but it looks like the park is still actively preparing to host the event despite Disney World cancelling their Halloween event a while back.

“Halloween Horror Nights 30 - (7/20/20) It’s late July and strange black covered signs and truss steel structures are starting to appear around Universal Studios Florida. This includes some new signs, covered up of course, set up just outside of the former Fear Factor arena, which are likely a show time board for this year’s Academy of Villains show. Well, at least I hope they are still planning on having AoV return, I really enjoyed last year’s show. One of the big structures may actually be one of the big “wait time” signs for all the HHN Haunts as well. On the other side of the park, just to the left of the entrance for Revenge of the Mummy, a big gateway style piece of truss has been set up just outside the entrance to the I STEIN & CO. doors.
While Universal has yet to announce any details about this year’s HHN #30 event, not even a single haunt theme, I’ve got a feeling this may change in the near future. With luck, hopefully we’ll get some solid information about this year’s HHN by the end of the month.
In the meantime, Universal Orlando has also launched a special Halloween Horror Nights online store with tons of retro-merchandise featuring artwork and logos from previous year’s events.”

 
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The Virginia State Fair has been cancelled for 2020. Not sure what this means for VA amusement parks.
 
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The Virginia State Fair has been cancelled for 2020. Not sure what this means for VA amusement parks.


Probably not much different than we already think/know - major differences in that it's a limited time attraction designed for high volume and requires a massive amount of coordination amongst all of the vendors, contractors, carnies, and other organizations that put it all together. Easier to cancel than for everyone to go home broke.
 
Pre-symptomatic people are are actually more contagious than those who show symptoms. From an evolutionary standpoint, this makes total sense. Why? Well, if I were an infectious disease intent on destroying my host, I would want to travel undetected as far as possible. Meaning, if I could show as little symptoms as possible, but still be highly transmissible I could sneakily infect more people. You can watch this in action by playing Pandemic II.

Generally, the only way parks or any place can be safe is to assume that we all have the disease but no one else does. In that case, we try our best to do things to keep ourselves in our own little bubbles and avoid contact, but when contact is required, we wash up or disinfect when we can.
The WHO is not as sure of that as you are. I June they described asymptomatic df spread "very rare" they have since said that they are not done studying it and are not sure how rare it is.
 
Here is the most recent WHO information on on pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic spread:



SARS-CoV-2 infected persons without symptoms can also infect others
Early data from China suggested that people without symptoms could infect others.(6) To better understand the role of transmission from infected people without symptoms, it is important to distinguish between transmission from people who are infected who never develop symptoms(75) (asymptomatic transmission) and transmission from people who are infected but have not developed symptoms yet (pre-symptomatic transmission). This distinction is important when developing public health strategies to control transmission.

The extent of truly asymptomatic infection in the community remains unknown. The proportion of people whose infection is asymptomatic likely varies with age due to the increasing prevalence of underlying conditions in older age groups (and thus increasing risk of developing severe disease with increasing age), and studies that show that children are less likely to show clinical symptoms compared to adults.(76) Early studies from the United States (77) and China (78)reported that many cases were asymptomatic, based on the lack of symptoms at the time of testing; however, 75-100% of these people later developed symptoms. A recent systematic review estimated that the proportion of truly asymptomatic cases ranges from 6% to 41%, with a pooled estimate of 16% (12%–20%).(79) However, all studies included in this systematic review have important limitations.(79) For example, some studies did not clearly describe how they followed up with persons who were asymptomatic at the time of testing to ascertain if they ever developed symptoms, and others defined “asymptomatic” very narrowly as persons who never developed fever or respiratory symptoms, rather than as those who did not develop any symptoms at all.(76, 80) A recent study from China that clearly and appropriately defined asymptomatic infections suggests that the proportion of infected people who never developed symptoms was 23%.(81)

Multiple studies have shown that people infect others before they themselves became ill, (10, 42, 69, 82, 83) which is supported by available viral shedding data (see above). One study of transmission in Singapore reported that 6.4% of secondary cases resulted from pre-symptomatic transmission.(73) One modelling study, that inferred the date of transmission based on the estimated serial interval and incubation period, estimated that up to 44% (25-69%) of transmission may have occurred just before symptoms appeared.(62) It remains unclear why the magnitude of estimates from modelling studies differs from available empirical data.

Transmission from infected people without symptoms is difficult to study. However, information can be gathered from detailed contact tracing efforts, as well as epidemiologic investigations among cases and contacts. Information from contact tracing efforts reported to WHO by Member States, available transmission studies and a recent pre-print systematic reviews suggests that individuals without symptoms are less likely to transmit the virus than those who develop symptoms.(10, 81, 84, 85) Four individual studies from Brunei, Guangzhou China, Taiwan China and the Republic of Korea found that between 0% and 2.2% of people with asymptomatic infection infected anyone else, compared to 0.8%-15.4% of people with symptoms.(10, 72, 86, 87)
 
We’re seeing the failure of the American educational system in real time as few are grasping the scientific method.

(I can’t take credit for this witty comment. Saw it on Twitter.)
 
Good. There's no possible way to do any HHN house with social distancing in mind. Being at a distance from the thing that's supposed to startle you looses its effect quickly.

I just hope they are able to retain the IPs they had planned for this year for next year.
 
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This just in, HHN cancelled for 2020:


Just heard from a friend who's a manager there.

The main reason was the labor needed. The only people working in the parks right now are managers and full time TMs and they’re already short-handed. So they’re focusing everything on the regular operations during the day and since HHN is so much more popular, they wanted to capitalize on traffic for the 30th anniversary of the event, which will now be put off until next year. They couldn’t justify the extra cost for the limited capacity. They already completed 6 houses for HHN but that's probably gonna go back in storage until next year. They're also destroying a ton of dated merch for the event.
 
Not surprised that they cancelled HHN. I don't think it's feasible for parks to do anything Halloween related this year. Christmas however is different. It's definitely more designed for leisurely strolling, so I definitely expect for them to do something for Christmas.
 
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I dont see any park pulling off a Christmas event if they cant get normal shows started before the holiday season. There is no point of BGW CT if there are zero shows. I dont see any kids getting to meet Santa.
 
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