I believe "Project Accelerate" is in part a response to an upcoming crisis of aging rides from the Coaster Wars era, and they just can't sit back like in previous years. Included in this is closing coasters that simply have no chance of still being around in 10 years without new-ride-level investment and increasing maintenance costs.
Absolutely, 100%, and thank you for describing it so succinctly. We are living through the generational hangover of dot-com era largesse.
The debt-soaked drunken fever dream of late-90s Premier Parks (sorry,
Six Flags) spending, with 10 years of capital expenditures fanatically crammed into less than half of that time, failed for largely predictable reasons. The multi-layered debt burden it left behind sailed that entire incarnation of the company straight to hell on a very slow boat. Again, predictable. The self-inflicted ongoing annual operating burden of dramatically expanded high-thrill ride offerings at regional amusement parks with limited growth potential was, once again, predictably deleterious. But I have to admit that even I didn't take the time to stop and ask: "What's it gonna be like in 25 or 30 years when these rides all approach end of life at roughly the same time?" And I can guarantee that nobody at in that C-suite spent any time thinking seriously about how the decommissioning wave would eventually play out. Business was going to keep growing forever, after all, and anyway from a business standpoint a quarter-century was so far away it might as well never arrive.
But now we know what this beast looks like from the other end. And incredibly, precisely at the same time Cedar Fair (sorry,
Six Flags) has birthed the spiritual successor movie-monster mistake to the "Coaster Wars" and its immediate aftermath. There are clear structural differences, of course: for example, this time there was no overzealous spending spree to pack the parks with new attractions fueled by seemingly-endless cash before the Bad Times landed. So I'm oversimplifying for effect. Still, over the next 5-7 years I suspect this era will come to be labeled the "Great Contraction." Not to be confused with the
actual great contraction between the 1930s and 1960s when the US roller coaster count plummeted from perhaps 2,000 to legitimately sub-200. But still a good name.
The difficult looming capital improvement expirations/decisions were mostly known, the debt burden was known, the general operating condition of the parks was or should have been known... maybe some elements of this Six Flags era's malaise were masked from Cedar Fair leadership before the merger, but the existence of major M&A risk certainly was known (if not as easily quantified). It remains frustrating that such a high-risk plan, lacking any truly unavoidable or overwhelming imperative to force its execution, was carried all the way through while so many people slowly shook their heads.
Oh well. Visit the smaller parks sooner rather than later, just in case. Divestiture is the zeitgeist.